Natural Gas Has the Most “Experts" Because There Are No Experts
Markets with the least predictability always have the most prophets.
If you spend even a few minutes on X (Twitter), you’ll notice something strange: no market has more self-proclaimed experts than Natural Gas. Every day, your feed is filled with confident predictions, bold arrows on charts, magical trendlines that are constantly redrawn disguised as technical analysis.
The reason is simple:
Natural Gas has the most “experts” because Natural Gas has no experts.
Indicators can work at random giving traders false confidence
Natural gas is the worst possible asset for:
classical chart patterns
textbook TA
trendlines
Fibonacci levels
support/resistance drawings
“consolidation” theories
None of these tools were designed for a mean reverting asset with violent volatility clustering, weather-driven demand shocks, overnight gap risk, constant whipsaws that can reverse a month’s move in one session.
“NatGas breaking the trendline!” (It breaks trendlines every week.)
“Clear resistance here!” (It ignores resistance like it’s a speed bump.)
“Huge support zone!” (It slices through support like it wasn’t even drawn.)
“Bullish engulfing candles!” (It engulfs, then drops 12% the next day.)
What makes these indicator failures particularly devastating is that they work just enough due to the law of randomness to give traders false confidence.
The Gambling High
Natgas is inherently unpredictable, turning every prediction into a high-stakes gamble feels oddly exhilarating. Trying to predict Natural Gas triggers the same dopamine response as gambling, the same high, the same rush. The volatility of natgas is addictive.
These aren’t experts on Twitter (X), they’re people hooked on the speculation.
The Real Experts Don’t Predict They Manage Volatility
The traders who actually make money in natgas don’t do it by “calling the next move.”
They:
trade its probabilities, not direction
size positions around volatility
plan for both tails
They aren’t drawing magical lines.
Wrapping Up the Gas Leak
Natural gas boasts the most “experts” because in a market where nothing reliably works, everyone can claim to have cracked the code. The volatility ensures constant drama, fueling endless threads and forecasts that feel more like entertainment than education.
Markets with the least predictability always have the most prophets.