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The most underappreciated risk here is the push toward shadow lending markets. When formal credit gets restricted, demand doesn't evaporate—it migrates to worse alternatives. I've seen this play out in microcredit markets where rate caps drove borrowers straight to loan sharks charging 60%+ with enforcment methods that make credit card collections look friendly. The Ackman blowback is fascianting too—legitimate concerns about credit rationing got drowned out by optics because populist policies are politically untouchable right now regardless of economic merit.

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